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                  9/18/2015   125+ TigerSoft Charts -
                  Go to www.tigersoftware.com/HH/index.html

                  9/18/2015
        New Highs: NASD  31     NYSE    7
        New Lows:  NASD  42     NYSE   70 

9/18/2015  Bullish MAXCP Stocks    over $5  
These will be posted later tonight.  
       156  ----> http://tigersoftware.com/HH/9-18-2015/BULLISH.HTML

 Bearish MINCP Stocks over $5
         79   --> http://tigersoftware.com/HH/9-18-2015/BEARISH.HTML

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          9/18/2015   The Fed has little left to support the market with.  The news that rates would
                             be left unchanged was, of course, anticipated by many traders with connections
                             to the big banks represented on the FED.   They sold and sold short on the
                             news.  In doing so, the DJI closed Thursday within 100 points of a Sell S9,
                             but did not issue a new sell.  

The operative Peerless signal is a profit-taking Sell S14.  But note how weak
                             the Peerless key values are.  Understand, too, that has been a growing tendency
                             since 2011 for the DJI not to reach the "normal" upper band.  I think that it's fair to
                             assume that all the computerized trading has caused this.   Short-term, the DJI has
                             peaked in a rising wedge price pattern.  This pattern is usually bearish.  So,
                             was Thursday's high volume (a red reversal day.)  We also have to be worried
                             that the DJI did not have enough strength even to tag its falling 65-dma. 
                             And, of course, the bull market is old and its 200-day ma has been violated.
                             When we stir in the bearish seasonality, especially in the weeks following
                             September's Triple Witching Fridays, it seems unavoidable that the DJI
                             must retest 15700 in the next two weeks. 

                            Traders should use any break in the DJI's hourly uptrend to short DIA. 
See the charts here: www.tigersoftware.com/HH/index.html

                            Tiger users should hold LONG NUGT (Gold is now back above its 65-dma)
                            and most of the biotechs we've been placing on the Bullish MAXCP lists each
                            night.  I would only hold these long positions, if I was short many of
                            the Bearish MINCPs.


                                                               The Bearish Aftermath of
                                                        September's Triple Witching Day

                             Friday's "Triple witching" played a big role in the DJI 290 points' drop
                             on very high volume.   One might hope that all this options' trading distorted
                             the market and that we might see a recovery back upwards.  Unfortunately,
                             that is not what usually occurs, at least, going back 15 years.  Examine below
                             what happens to the DJI after the peak at the end of the third week of trading
                             in September each year since 1999.  It fell significantly in 13 of these 16 years.
                             This suggests the odds are 81% of the time of more weakness for the next
                             two to three weeks.

                                                  DJI's Price Movement after Triple Witching Friday

                                   9/20/1999  10823.89     DJI fell to 10019.71 low on 10/15/1999
                                   9/22/2000  10847.37     DJI fell to 9975.02 low on 10/18/2000
                                   9/21/2001   8235.81     DJI rose strongly afterwards. 
                                                      (Peerless B16 called bottom after 9/11 sell-off.)
                                   9/19/2002  7942.39      DJI fell to 7286.27 on 10/9/2002
                                   9/19/2003  9644.82      DJI fell to 9275.06 on 9/30/2003

                                   9/17/2004  10204.75    DJI fell to 9749.99 on 10/25/2004
                                   9/16/2005  10641.94    DJI fell to 10216.59 on 10/13/2005
                                   9/22/2006  11508.50    DJI rose to 12316.54 on 11/20/2006
                                   9/21/2007  13820.19    DJI fell to 12743.44 on 11/26/2007.
                                   9/19/2008 11388.44    DJI fell to 8451.19 on 10/5/2008

                                   9/18/2009    9820.70    DJI fell to 9487.67 on 10/2/2009
                                   9/17/2010  10607.85    DI rallied strongly courtesy of Quantitative Easing.
                                   9/16/2011  11509.09   DJI fell to 10655.33 on 10/3/2011
                                   9/21/2012  13579.47   DJI fell to 12542.38 on 11/15/2012
                                   9/20/2013  15451.09   DJI fell to 14776.53 on 10/8/2013

                                   9/19/2014  17279.74   DJI fell to 16141.74 on 10/15/20


                                                    Track Record of Experimental S9

                             I mentioned Thursday night that the 2006 version of Peerless gave
                             a Sell S12.  This caused a lot if interest in what parameters we should
                             be using now.  To help test different band width parameters, I put into
                             the latest (9/20/2015) version of Peerless (now on the ESP Page) a way
                             for you to test various band width parameters and the 65-dma criteria
                             in getting a Sell S9s when the P-I is negative, the IP21 is below +.02 and
                             the 65-dma is falling.  Using these conditions, I went back to 1929 to see
                             how well such an experimental S9 would have worked.  In doing this,
                             I considered any subsequent DJI move up by more than 5% to be a loss
                             and counted any subsequent DJI decline to the lower band or lower to be a success.
                             To make this more interesting, I have broken the data down a little
                             by periods of time:

                                1929-1933 Bear Market: 8 successes and 6  failures (5% losses)
                                                  No cases in September
                                1934-1937 Bull Market:  1 success and 3 failures
                                1937-1938 Bear Market  5 successes and 5 failures
                                1940-1942 Bear Market  3 successes and 2 failures
                                1946 Bear Market: 1 success
                                1956 Bull Market: 1 success
                                1960 Correction:                             1 failure
                                1962 Bear Market:                        1 failure
                                1966 Bear Market: 1 success       1 failure
                                1968 Correction:  1 success           1 failure       
                                1970  Bear Market  3 successes
                                1971 Correction:  1 success           1 failure  
                                1973-1974  Bear Market  3 successes

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From last Thursday night....

When Does A Decline Become Really Dangerous?


                             We have seen how the DJI recently did find support at the lowest possible level consistent
                             with it making only a corrective decline.  There were 30 "corrections", each producing
                             a decline of less than 14%.  This was more than two and a half times the number of bear
                             markets that brought a decline of more than 20%.

                             But now look at what happens when there is a DJI decline more than 14%.  There
                             were 15 cases where the decline was at least 19%.  These are highlighted
                             in red:   1929, 1937, 1940, 1946, 1957, 1962, 1966, 1973-4,  1977, 1981-2,
                            1987, 1990, 1998, 2000-3, 2007-9.  There were only four declines of 15% and 18%.
                            (1948, 1971, 1980 and 2017) and there were three declines of 19% to 21%:
                            1957, 1980 and 1998.  By contrast, there were 12 bear markets where DJI fell
                            more than 21%.  So, the odds are are almost 2:1 that any DJI decline of more
                            than 14% will see the DJI fall more than 20% from its highs.                           

                Declines in Bull Market That Were Corrections
              or Became Bear Markets (Declines of more than 19%)

          From 1928 to 1966, there were 9 9%-14% corrections
          and 7 bear market declines of more than 18%.  One decline
          fell 15% before reversing, but 7 others fell at least as much as 18%.

1-3 > 1928-1929 before the September 1929 peak:             3 10% corrections.
4 1929 Bear Market started with 14.5% decline from September peak and one-week rally, then collapse.
5      >  April-May 1936  11% correction.  No bear market
6     >  1937 before the August 1939 peak 1 15% correction.  DJI could not get back to old high.
7 1937 Bear Market: DJI fell 33% before there was even a brief rally back to falling 21-dma.
  8        1940 Bear Market: DJI fell 24% before reversing.
9     >  1946 before July 1946  peak  1  10% correction
10       1946 Bear Market: DJI fell 26% before reversing.
11    >  1947-48:   11% correction.  No bear market 1  10% correction
12    >  1948-1949:  15% decline and then recovery to new highs.
13    >  June-July 1950     13.5% correction. No bear market
14  >  Sept-Oct 1955     10% correction. No bear market     1  10% correction
15-16 >  1956 before the July 1957 peak      2 10% corrections.
17        1957 Bear Market: DJI fell 19.5% before reversing up past falling 21-day ma.
18    > 1959 before the January 1960 peak 1 9.2% correction.
19       18% 1960 Bear Market: DJI fell 11% before reversing and rallying 10%..
20       1961-1962 Bear Market: DJI fell 27% before rallying. - there was a massive head/shoulders  
  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 21 >  1965 before January 1966  peak 1  10.5% correction
22       1966 Bear Market: DJI fell 25% before rallying. -  5% rebound when down 13.5%
23   >  1967-1968 before December 1968  peak 1  12% correction   5% rebound when down 10
24     10% corrections, 10% recovery, then a fuller 16% decline from April 1971 top. 
  25       Deep 1973 Bear Market.  8% recovery after only a 10% decline.
26 >  July-October 1975  10% correction. No bear market.
27       1977-8 Bear Market.
28 > 1978 13.5% correction in Sept-Oct 1978. No deeper bear market.
  29 > 1979 11% correction in Sept-Oct 1979. No deeper bear market.
30 > 1980 16% correction in Feb-April 1980. No deeper bear market.
  31 > 1980 before the April 1981 peak 1 10% correction.
32        1981-1982 Bear Market.  First temporary recovery to u pper band after 19.5% decline.
33 1987    - 36% Bear Market. No minor recoveries.  
34 >   1989   1  10% correction.  No deeper bear market.
35 >   1990   1  10% correction.  No deeper bear market.
36 1990 - 21% Bear Market.
37 > 1994   1  11% correction No deeper bear market.
38 > 1996   1  10% correction No deeper bear market.
  39  >    1997 1  13.5% correction  in Aug-October 1997. No deeper bear market.
40 1998 - 19.5% Bear Market.
  41 >    1999 1  11% correction.
42 2000-2003 Bear Market.  This began with DJI 16.5% decline.  Though there
                                                          were rallies in 2000 and 2001, most stocks fell and
                                                          were trapped in a long bear market.
43  > 2004   1  9% correction. No deeper bear market.
44  > 2007   1  10% correction. before the October 2007 peak
45 2007-2009 Bear Market.
46  > 2010 1  13.5% correction in April - July 2010. No deeper bear market.
  47        2011   17% Decline -  May - October 2011

?   No 10% corrections before May - August 2015 top.

               =============== Previous Comments Here ====================    

        Trouble Lies Ahead

                           Somehow, it is the DJI and SP-500 which will have to lead ALL other markets higher.  
                           The broader US market remains quite weak. 90% of all stocks are below their 65-dma.
                           Somehow the US now must also lead the world markets out of their Deflationary spiral.
                           This won't be easy.  The  de-Industrialization of America and the 35 year decline
                           in its middle class have gravely weakened Consumer Demand just when Foreign
                           demand is in the tank, too.  This is why we watch the Four Horses of the Deflation
                           Apocalypse.  Many overseas markets are in a steep declines, as are Commodities,
                           Oil/Gas and the Chinese market.

                           Friday watch the Jobs numbers closely.  It's true that +200,00 new Jobs have
                           been added in each of the last 3 months,  but it is also true that the recent June and July
                           numbers do show a deterioration both from a year ago and from the previous month. 
                           I think we have to get past simply relying on the standard media's write-ups of
                           these numbers.

         NEW NON-FARM EMPLOYEES IN US
                   8/8/2015  (in 1000s)

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Annual
2004	161	44	332	249	307	74	32	132	162	346	65	129
2005	134	239	134	363	175	245	373	196	67	84	337	159
2006	277	315	280	182	23	77	207	184	157	2	210	171
2007	238	88	188	78	144	71	-33	-16	85	82	118	97
2008	15	-86	-80	-214	-182	-172	-210	-259	-452	-474	-765	-697
2009	-798	-701	-826	-684	-354	-467	-327	-216	-227	-198	-6	-283
2010	18	-50	156	251	516	-122	-61	-42	-57	241	137	71
2011	70	168	212	322	102	217	106	122	221	183	164	196
2012	360	226	243	96	110	88	160	150	161	225	203	214
2013	197	280	141	203	199	201	149	202	164	237	274	84
2014	144	222	203	304	229	267	243	203	271	243	353	249

2015

201

266

119

187

260

231

215

  I consider Peerless not to be offering a current reversing Buy or Sell now.  This
                           is highly unusual, but so is the market.  The nearly 1000 point advance
                           in only two days did not even take the DJI above its falling 65-day ma.
                           This gives the appearance of a DJI only making a bear market rally up to
                           resistance last week.  In the next Peerless update (expected to be released
                           on Friday), the characteristics mentioned above will give an automatic Sell S14.
                           In an on-going bear market the S14 would call for selling and selling short.
                           But currently we are not officially in a bear market. A DJI decline of more
                           than 18% from its high is the standard used by Peerless). As such the Sell S14
                           is only a "take profits" signal;.  In fact, the DJI has still not fallen more than
                           14% from its highs so far. You will recall that I have shown here recently that
                           since 1928 77% of the numerous DJI declines of 10% to 13.5% were
                           "corrections" in an on-going bull market and soon brought  recoveries back
                           to their old highs, at least. . So, the new Sell S14 in our market environment
                           only says what I have already said here, namely to mostly go to cash
                           unless you are a very short-trader and can watch the Hourly DJI during the
                           day and want to play the typical recovery that should develop between
                           15700-16000 and sell when the Hourly DJI's uptrend is violated or the
                           DJI again reaches 16700.

                                                          The FED Is The Key Now.
|
                       There is just too much uncertainty that the Fed will start raising rates for the market
                       to move much higher and this is complicated by the next Jobs' Report coming
                       out of Friday.   What the FED has artificially created in the way of a long bull market
                       built on free money to big banks, it could quickly take away,  if the recent 13.5% DJI
                       decline is any indication. There are those who tell us the short term bonds show only
                       a 22% chance that September will bring a rate hike.
                       (See http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/27/upshot/jobs-forecast-is-another-reason-for-the-fed-not-to-raise-rates.html?action=click&contentCollection=Economy&module=RelatedCoverage&region=Marginalia&pgtype=article )

                       I am not so sure the odds are not closer to 50%. I believe the meeting will be
                       quite contentious. The outspoken "hawks" and the "doves" are about equal in number.
                       Janet Yellen, the supposedly dovish Chairwoman, has been mysteriously quiet recently
                       and out of sight. She did not go to their annual Wyoming meeting to talk with the other
                       Fed Governors.   Has there been a rebellion against her?  Is she becoming more hawkish
                       so that she can remain in control.  She apparently sees herself as the
                       impartial chairwoman who states the "consensus" of views at the end of the
                       FOMC meeting.  She is cautious.  And a cautious person would probably
                       wait until the evidence is stronger and the opinions more conclusively in favor
                       of a rate hike.

                       Still, only the New York FED Governor, Dudley, has spoken out recently
                       to advocate caution in the face of the extreme bear market in developing countries,
                       the Chinese market's meltdown, falling oil prices and falling commodity prices.
                       Several other Fed Governors are on record recently as favoring a rate hike soon,
                       despite the signs of world-wide Deflation and the economic downturns overseas. 

                       Once upon a time, I was interviewed by the CIA to be a Kremlinologist, one who
                       studied the divergent interests and pronouncements of the dozen or so members
                       of the Soviet Union's Presidium.  I think I still have an interest in the politics of
                       secretive power-elites.  So, today I made a list of all the FED members of the
                       Open Market Committee, those who will decide on September 17th, whether
                       to raise short-term rates and tried to find on the internet what exactly they had last
                       said on the subject.  Let me show you what I found.  The conclusion I draw from
                       this exercise is that there may well now be a majority for a rate hike, even though
                       a majority of the Open Market Committee are considered more dovish than hawkish.

                       I plan to keep this list of t he key Fed policy-makers handy.  I will try  to refer to it
                       each time one of these FED members makes a public statement.  We will want to
                       see how they may be shifting their position and their intra-committee alliances.

Members of Fed's Open Market Committee:
                                 (They decide "by consensus" whether to raise short-term rates.)

 5 Doves: Dudley, Evans, Rosengren, Brainard, Tarullo

   3 Doves shifting in favor of a rate hike: Yellen, Williams, Lockhart

                        6 Hawks: Fischer, Lacker, Powell, Bullard, Mester, George

                      (  What is a hawk?  What is a dove?    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monetary_hawk_and_dove )
In 2013, Business Week made the same break-down that I am attempting here.
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-2013-fomc-member-profiles-2013-1?op=1
Deutche Bank offered an assessment of the two camps within the Fed at the end of 2015.
http://snbchf.com/monetary-fiscal-policy/fed-its-fomc-composition/

 Janet Yellen  -     Board of Governors, Chairman
Purported to be a DOVE.  But recently, she has been silent and offered no insights into her current thinking
       about a Sept. rate hike.  Some say she deliberately does not "lead" or "get out in front" on contentious issues.
       Her job is to state the consensus.  
https://www.frbatlanta.org/podcasts/transcripts/economy-matters/150820-atlanta-fed-president-dennis-lockhart-discusses-fomc-meeting-process.aspx

July 16, 2015 - Fed chief Janet Yellen said she prefers raising interest rates prudently and gradually
and that tightening credit too soon could threaten the recovery, while waiting too long risks overheating
the economy and boosting inflation. (Pretty obvious platitude).  She added that the U.S. labor market
has moved demonstrably closer to more normal levels, which makes a raising of short-term rates
more "possible". (Opaque and unrevealing comment.)
http://www.wsj.com/articles/feds-janet-yellen-to-testify-before-senate-panel-1437058499?tesla=y

William C. Dudley, New York, Vice Chairman
DOVE      The case for raising interest rates had become “less compelling” in recent weeks.

Charles L. Evans, Chicago
DOVE         "Mid-2016 is where I envision the first liftoff...I just don’t see why we should be in a hurry
with all of the risks that we face. A little more time doesn’t hurt." He said, he does not expect inflation to reach the Fed's
2 percent target until 2018, if then. To support a rate hike, he said, he would like to see at least even odds that
inflation will rise above 2 percent within two years. He thinks that when the Fed does raise rates, "nobody will be
surprised." 
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/09/us-usa-fed-evans-idUSKCN0PJ2EY20150709

Lael Brainard, Board of Governors
DOVE
June 5, 2015  "More optimistic growth projections may have placed too much weight on the boost to spending from lower energy prices and too little weight on the negative implications for aggregate demand of the significant increase in the foreign exchange value of the dollar and large decline in the price of crude oil.”  She added she would need to see a number of factors before she is comfortable raising official borrowing costs, which have been effectively at zero since December 2008..."I will be looking closely at a variety of indicators–in particular, signs that core inflation is firming, deflationary pressures from abroad are abating, and both survey–and market-based measures of inflation expectations are stable,” she said.
http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/06/02/feds-brainard-wants-more-economic-progress-before-rate-rises/

Daniel K. Tarullo, Board of Governors
DOVE
June 4, 2015 - economy appears to have “lost some momentum” and may not recover as quickly
from a rough first quarter as it did in 2014

Eric Rosengren - Boston
DOVE
  9/1/2015           Fed's Rosengren: Global Economic Weakness Argues for Rate Rise Caution
"I would like to normalize (rates) as soon as possible ... but the conditions haven't been
right.” He added that the Fed will raise rates only once it sees further improvement in the labor
market, and is reasonably confident that inflation is headed back to the Fed's 2 percent
target.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/01/us-usa-fed-rosengren-idUSKBN0OH2FS20150601

John C. Williams, San Francisco
?????   Considered a supporter of Yellen.      No public comments recently... 

  Dennis P. Lockhart, Atlanta
?????        “I expect the normalization of monetary policy — that is, interest rates — to begin sometime
this year.”  :   Lockhart: Fed 'close' to hiking rates, US economy near normal
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/26/business/economy/will-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-anytime-soon-investors-say-no.html?action=click&contentCollection=Economy&module=RelatedCoverage&region=Marginalia&pgtype=article
and
http://snbchf.com/monetary-fiscal-policy/fed-its-fomc-composition/

Hawks:

Stanley Fischer, Board of Governors
Hawk  - Aug 29, 2015 he saw “good reason” to expect that inflation would rebound to a healthier pace
as the American economy continued to grow...adding that economic conditions in the United
States were approaching the standards the Fed has said would be necessary for it to raise
rates.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/30/business/optimistic-about-inflation-stanley-fischer-suggests-that-fed-will-stick-to-plan-on-rates.html?ribbon-ad-idx=2&rref=business/economy&module=Ribbon&version=context&region=Header&action=click&contentCollection=Economy&pgtype=article

Jeffrey M. Lacker, Richmond
Hawk - He cast the sole vote against quantitative easing by the purchase of mortgage-backed securities and the
issuance of forward guidance at the September 2012 FOMC meeting.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeffrey_M._Lacker
April 10, 2015 - Jeffrey M. Lacker, president of the Richmond ... Inflation rate is headed back towards 2 percent.
He was willing to raise rates in June 2015.
https://biz941.com/2015/04/richmond-fed-president-jeffrey-m-lacker-delivers-upbeat-economic-prediction-at-sarasota-yacht-club/

Jerome H. Powell, Board of Governors
Hawk -   June 2015 -  "If the economy unfolds as expected, conditions for two rate hikes this year could be in place as soon
as September".  He expressed confidence that there will be continued improvement in the labor market and confidence
that inflation is moving toward the central bank’s 2% annual target.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/feds-powell-eyes-two-2015-hikes-as-he-dismisses-bubble-fears-2015-06-23

 James Bullard - Board of Governors
Hawk -  May 28, 2015 - Keeping interest rates near zero risks inflating asset-price bubbles ...
                Aug 2015 - Volatility isn't changing economic outlook.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-28/fed-s-bullard-says-volatility-isn-t-changing-economic-outlook

  Loretta J. Mester - Board of Governors - Cleveland
Hawk - June 20, 2015 - The American economy has strengthened enough to withstand an immediate increase
of interest rates...The nation is “at or nearly at full employment...“I do think that the economy can support a
25-basis point increase in interest rates”
http://triblive.com/business/headlines/8597717-74/fed-mester-rate#axzz3kKipo3yd

Esther L. George - Alternate FOMC member
Hawk  Aug 2015 - It is  "too soon to tell whether market volatility is going to affect the U.S. economy, and every policy-setting meeting is a live option for the Fed to begin raising interest rates...At this point, for me, I have not seen something that would change my own sense of how the economy is doing...I thought there was scope to consider rate increases before now...
We should expect volatility, I think, from time to time, we are in a period of some uncertainty -- questions about China, questions about global growth...What it means for monetary policy I think is not yet clear.  It’s a complication, it’s something we watch. My own view has been for some time that the economy is strong enough to begin that normalization process. That would be a sign of confidence, it would limit some of the uncertainty that I think is out there today.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-27/george-says-too-soon-to-judge-what-turmoil-means-for-fed-policy

                                ===============================================
                                                                                 Notes from last night.
                                 ===============================================

       Temporary Sharp Declines
                                         and Extreme Artificial Sell-Offs.

 Looking at the Peerless charts for 1987, 1997, 2011 and 2010
                        show us that the odds favor a retest of the 16000.  Only the 1997
                        case would suggest that there will only  be a shallow one- or two-day
                        retreat. 

1987 Crash (Caused by Reckless Computerized Trading in Index Options.)



   1997 Parallel: 
             Only two very shallow retreats here before old high was challenged,



    2010 Flash Crash


2011 Republican Shut-Down of Federal Government
                                 (Boehner says that this will not occur in 2015.)




                        From Wednesday night:

 Other Sharp DJI Declines to The 13.5%-Down Level

When one studies other DJI recoveries in the past after sharp declines
                        to the 13.5%-14% support- level below the bull market peak, we see that
                        the falling 21-day ma does act as resistance for a week before prices
                        penetrate it and resume their rally.  See the study here.
../../MAXMIN/8-28-2015/big_declines_and_the_importance.htm

                        Look especially at the charts of 1941 (months before Pearl Harbor),
                        1950 (a month after North Korea invaded South Korea) and
                        in 1997.  Especially note the 1997 Panic.  It occurred because of a panic
                        in Asia with the DJI up very considerably over the prior 6 years. 
                        Computerized trading then also drove the decline down excessively.
Wikopedia writes:

                                "The October 27, 1997, mini-crash is the name of a global stock market crash
                                that was caused by an economic crisis in Asia. The point loss that the
Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered on this day still ranks as the eighth biggest
                                point loss and 15th biggest percentage loss since its creation in 1896. This crash is
                                considered a "mini-crash" because the percentage loss was relatively small compared
                                to some other notable crashes. But after the crash, the markets still remained positive
                                for 1997. "      (See October 27, 1997, mini-crash - Wikipedia)

                                                BUY B16s

B16 Trading Results by which Year in 4-Year Presidential Election Cycle
       the Buy B16s occurred in.

Year                                  No.   Avg.Gain
                      Presidential Election Year      5       .263
                      PE + 1                                  7       .281
                      PE + 2                                  8       .150
 PE + 3                                  6       .115

 B16 Trading Results by which Month the Buy B16s occurred in.

                       Month                                  No.   Avg.Gain
                       January                                   0        ---
                       February                                 1       .988
                       March                                     2       .220
                       April                                        2       .097
                       May                                         2       .135
                       June                                         2        .044
                       July                                          2        .047
August                                    2        .039  (lowest)
                       September                               2        .153
                       October                                   3        .156
                        November                               4       .172
                        December                               4       .176

           Previous August Buy B16s
                                          DJI               Gain
          19660831 B16        788.51         .022 no paper loss
                                          la/ma      AROC      PI   PI-Ch     IP21   V-I    OPct  65-dma Pct Change
                                         .966        -.643      -257    41        -.189   -13   -.312        -.109
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          19710809 B16        842.65         .055    fell to 839.59 (0.4% paper loss)
                                          la/ma      AROC      PI   PI-Ch    IP21   V-I    OPct  65-dma Pct Change
                                         .963         -.802      -277  -36     -.159    -4    -.404           -.102
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20150825 B16        842.65         .055   
                                          la/ma      AROC      PI   PI-Ch    IP21   V-I    OPct  65-dma Pct Change
                                         .906         -1.216    -310  +50     -.084  -246   -.507          -.141

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       E-Books
   1  The On-Line Explosive Stocks
2   The On-Line Killer Short Sales book
                                       Purchase each all new book by CC for $42.50 or send a check for $37.50 to me.

  I call your attention now to the many new concepts and
                     the     considerable new research in them:  For example:
                                   1) A very good New Tiger Buy B12 for Low Priced Stocks
                                   2) After Red high volume reversal days use CP uptrend-breaks.
                                   3) Buy the stocks the Federal Govt wants you to buy. 
                                   4) 100-Day Power Rankings... 
                                   5) Using Closing Power Hooks after Buy B26s and B20s.
                                   6) How A Stock Reacts to Its Earnings Report Is Very important.
                                   7) TigerSoft Major Buy Signals' Combinations
Which are most Powerful? Reliable?
                                   8) Augmented Buy B20s' Independent Success Rate.
                                   9) What factors warn a rising 65-dma will not hold?
                                 10) The classic cluster of  technical characteristics that commonly appear
                                        in the 23 stocks falling 70% or more in the deep pullback of 2011.
   ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   PEERLESS STOCK MARKET TIMING:

A Guide To Profitably Using The Tiger Nightly HOTLINE
              New   Peerless Signals and DJI Charts  - version 7/4/2013
1965 1965-6 1966 1966-7 1967 1967-8 1968 1968-9 1969 1969-70 1970 1970-1 1971
1971-2 1972 1972-3 1973 1973-4 1974 1974-5 1975 1975-6 1976 1976-7 1977 1977-1978
1978 1978-79 1979 1979-80 1980 1980-1 1981 1981-2 1982 1982-1983 1983 1983-1984
1984 1984-1985 1985 1985-1986 1986 1986-1987 1987 1987-8 1988 1988-9 1989 1989-90
1990 1990-1 1991 1991-2 1992 1992-3 1993 1993-4 1994 1994-5 1995 1995-1996 1996
1996-7 1997 1997-8 1998 1998-1999 1999 1999-2000 2000 2000-1 2001 2001-2 2002
2002-3 2003 2003-4 2004 2004-5 2005 2005-6 2006 2006-7 2007 2007-8 2008 2008-9
2009 2009-10 2010 2010-11 2011 2011-12 2012 2012-2013       2013    2013-4    2014

Introduction to Tiger/Peerless Buys and Sells.
Different Types of TigerSoft/Peerless CHARTS, Signals and Indicators
How reliable support is the DJI's rising 200-day ma?
          -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TIGERSOFT SIGNALS AND INDICATORS:
Documentation for TigerSoft Automatic and Optimized Signals.
SPY Charts since 1994: Advisory Closing Power S7s, Accum. Index, 65-dma, Optimized Signals.
"The Jig Is Up": Calling September and October Tops.
A Keynesian's Warning Signs.
NUGT since 2012: A study of Tiger Technicals
Tiger Day Traders Tool and most active Triple Leveraged ETFs
Advisory Pink Closing Power S7s at ETF at top since 1994
1994 1996 1997 1998 1999        2000 QQQ SPY
                              DIA       2002 2007 2008       SPY 2011 2013-2014

Tiger Buy and Sell Signals: New 2014 Research:
These are randomly chosen groups.
but clearly we need to back-test them in more years.
                       You can replicate or do similar studies yourself
                       for other signals and/or other years.
9/1/2014 - 2014 Tiger B19s - Steady rallying and no pullbacks below the 21-day ma.
                       9/2/2014 - 2014 Tiger B17s on 14As taken alphabetically
                       9/3/2014 - 2014 Tiger B17s on 60 Biotechs taken alphabetically
9/4/2014 - 2014 Tiger B18s on all "R" stocks taken alphabetically
*                   9/8/2014 - 2014 Tiger B20s     - Conclusion: Use Closing Power trendbreaks in aftermath.
9/8/2014 - 2014 Tiger B16s - Conclusion: Use mostly when LA/MA under 1.05.
         9/11/2014 - 2014 Tiger B15s - Conclusion: Certain conditions improved the results dramatically.
9/12/2014 - 2014 Tiger B25s - Conclusion: 87.5% success rate when other internals are positive.
9/15/2014 - 2014 Tiger B25s - Best conditions for using B25s with somewhat higher RSX capitalization stocks.
9/16/2014 -  New Tiger Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal in 2014:  14s, QQQ, DJI-30 and ETFs
9/17/2014 - New Tiger Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2009A-s
9/18/2014 - New Tiger Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2010A-s
9/21/2014 - New Tiger Augmented Sell S8s: DJI-30 - 2014
                                                       Requiring S8s to show Negative CP%-Pr and IP21<+.15 produced a 70% success rate
                                                       in a rising market for DJI-30 stocks and big ETFs.
9/24/2014 - Tiger Sell S14s: They make price  breakdowns very bearish.
1/15/2015 - Tiger Day Traders' Tool Explained.
http://www.tigersoft.com/day-traders/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/Indicators/index.htm
http://www.tigersoftware.com/TigerBlogs/Aug-31-2009/index.html
NEW   2/16/2015     
                          1) New - Tiger Charts showing UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up%
                                               Note differences between bullish and bearish stocks...
                        2) New - UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% Rankings of any directory.
                        3) New - Display of what happens to a stock after various size openings up or down.
                        4) New - 6-month charts to better show volume changes and 5-day ma with bands.
                                      More profitable trading schemes coming...
Targeted Trading Opportunities:The Profits Quickly Add Up,
3/29/2015   Tiger CandleSticks: IBB: 2001-2015 and Recent Others.
====================================================================================
Earlier Hotlines 2-7-2014 to 3/19/2014
11-22-2014 to 2-6-2014
http://tigersoftware.com/555HL555/index.htm 10/9/2014 - 11/21/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/9933Hot/ 9/2/2014   - 10/8/2014-
http://tigersoftware.com/2233HL/index.html 6/25/2013-9/1/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/112211-H/index.htm 11/22/2013-3/20/2014
http://tigersoft.com/1111-HL/index.html 10/22/2013-11/21/2013
Past Hotline Predictions    http://tigersoft.com/-HL42013/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/-2GBL13HL/index.htm
==============================================================================================================================