SOME APPLICATIONS
OF THE TIGER POWER RANKER TODAY
1. HEDGING
AGAINST A WEAK DOLLAR
2. SCANNING
FOR BULLISH SPECIAL SITUATIONS
3. FINDING
VERY STRONG NASDAQ-100 STOCKS
4. FINDING
LONGER-TERM INVESTMENTS AMONG "FIDSTKS"
5. FIRST OUT OF THE
GATE AS A BULL MARKET STARTS
6. "ACROSS
THE BOARD" HIGH STRENGTH
7.
"NEW HIGHS"
8. "BOTH UP
by William Schmidt, Ph.D.
The intention here is to show users some of the ways that they might
use
TigerSoft's Power-Ranker. The exercises here will be used for the creation of
Tiger's Elite Stock Professional today. They are performed given the backdrop of a
possible turn upwards in the stock market, to the point where it may well have seen
a bottom for some time, depending on whether breadth can stay strong and volume
can expand to keep eating up overhead supply of stock. In addition, Obama
has accepted this weekend the Chinese contention about the desirability of working
towards an international currency that is based on a basket of currencies.. We might
begin by looking at precious metals' stocks, since they might be expected to rise if the
US Dollar weakens.
1.
HEDGING AGAINST A WEAK DOLLAR
Using the Power-Ranker, we will analyze the stocks in c:\gold, which may be downloaded
from our TigerSoft data page.
Use Peercomm + TigerSoft Chart + Run/Setups + Run Nightly Analysis +
OK
When it is done, click OK. Now
let's see what we can find for a gold stock that would make
a good trade when Gold turns up. (It has been declining in the last few days
as people have
taken profits in it and pured that money into stocks that are currently rallying.)
Use Peercomm + Peerless-2008/9 + Tiger Selections + #1 Indicators Results Scan
the resulting table's columns, "Best Performing Indicator" and
"Gain". Find a high gain
number over 100(%) and a Best Performing Indicator" that is Stochastic Based.
When I
do that today, 4/3/2009, I find quite a few. So, let's tighten the screen to include
only stocks
over $15.that make a Gain be over 200 with the optimum trading system for the last
year.
That yields:
AEM - 5 day Stochastic, gain 222,2% and ut closed at 51,28, now on Sell (See Status column)
ASA - 14 day Stochasti, gain 241.8% and it closed at 51.68, now on Sell.
GG - 14 day Stochastic, gain 252.8% and it closed at 31.12, now on Sell.
PAAS - 14-day Stochastic, gain 325.8% and it closed at 16.69, now on Sell.
RGLD - 50-day Stochastic, 198.5% amd it closed at 43.42, now on Sell.
We might decide to watch these would be a good Buy on the next
optimized Buy signal.
The length of the Stochastic will give you a sense of how long a trade might last.
AEM makes
very good quick-trades. RGLD trades take much longer to reach their optimum.
PAAS is
mainly a silver stock and the Closing Power for Silver (SLV) is in a distinct downtrend,
so we
would want to wait for that downtrend to end. Chart SLV to see this yourself.
By clicking on the row of Power Ranker spreadsheet on your
screen and then Graph at the top,
you can see these stock's chartsand do further analysis. To save time we might
simply note
which of them have the highest IP21 (current Accumulation
Index score.) and where they are
in relationship to their 50-day ma
AEM - IP21=.10 BR (below rising 50-day ma)
ASA - IP21=-.09 AR (above rising 50-day ma)
GG - IP21=.10 BR (below rising 50-day ma)
PAAS - IP21=.18 AR (above rising 50-day ma)
RGLD - IP21=.23 BR (below rising 50-day ma)
RGLD has the highest IP21 score, so that is the stock I would look at. it most closely.
Below is the.chart. With the chart on the screen I can also get the optimized
trading results
for other length stochastics, besides th 50-day (which has traded best for the
year). To do
this with a graph on the screen, go to Indic 3 + 7th item down (Performance of 5-20
day
Stochastics.) That shows that a 20-day Stochastic-K turning up below 20 has given
good
Buys for the last year. The bottom of the Tiger chart also shows this performance
data.
That 20-day Stochastic's system's gain is a respectable 86.3%. We will watch it closely,
as RGLD may be setting up for a nice run past 50, so long as its Accumulation Index stays
above its MA. To see where the stock's 20-day Stochastic is simplify the chart:
Operations + Restore Simple Bar Chart and the choose Indic-1
+ Stoch.20.
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2. SCANNING FOR BULLISH SPECIAL SITUATIONS
Most of the time, there are special situations that move up even in bad market
environments.
It could be because of a take-over, a new product or medical breakthrough. Here is
how to scan
for such stocks using TigerSoft. Know that all the news has probably not come out
about these
stocks. After you've found some candidates for special situations, do some
investigating, too,
about the company. If a takeover has already been announced, then I would look
elsewhere.
Using the Power-Ranker, we will analyze the stocks in c:\hotstks,
which may be downloaded
from our TigerSoft data page. These are mostly stocks that are showing unusual
relative strength
and have been making new 12-month highs.
Click Peercomm + TigerSoft Chart + Run/Setups
+ Run Nightly Analysis + OK
When
this is done, click OK. Let's see
what we can find for some Bullish Special Situations.
Use Peercomm + Peerless-2008/9 + Tiger Selections + Bullish Stocks for 3
Months. These
are
very high Power-Ranked stocks. They show very high long-term Accumulation (AI/200).
usually a positive divergence between price and OBV for the last 100-days, a high current
IP21
(Accumulation) and are usually above their 50-day ma. Producing the charts for those
stocks with a
current IP21 above .25 woild mean charting OCN, HBE, ARST, DUC, EEI,
ATSI and IMGN.
And
if we look to the far right of the grid-display, we see TGR-Sig. In that column a U!U as OCN
tells
us that the Opening Power has just turned up above its rising ma while the Closing Power
contines
to
rise. Clicking on the Grid's row for OCN and then Graph lets us see the graph. I have shown
on
the graph where we made this tha night's bullish special situation. Not the
wonderfully bullish
Accumulation.and rising trends, especially the blue Closing Power. By using Signals(1),and
(1) Major Buys we can put the most important signals on the screen. See how
there were a
series of nested major Buys back in September. The market's great weakness was only
a
short-term drag int he stock. This proved to be very bullish. Note how there
were many
bulges of big money Accumulation over +.50. This shows significant insider
buying. When the
stock
makes new highs subsequently, the insiders are shown to be shrewd and savvy, as
well.
With
this much Accumulation and relative strength, there is little need to be concerned about
sell
signals on the stock. The stock is shown to be very tightly held by so much Blue
Accumulation.
OCN, HBE, ARST, DUC, EEI, ATSI and IMGN.
Continuing
with this list of "3-Months' Bullish" stocks we see HBE, but it is very thinly
traded.
ARST looks good. too. DUC
lacks volatility..
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3.
FINDING VERY STRONG NASDAQ-100 STOCKS
Using the Power-Ranker, we will
analyze the stocks in c:\nasd-100, which may be downloaded
from our TigerSoft data page.
Use Peercomm + TigerSoft Chart + Run/Setups + Run Nightly Analysis + OK
When it is done, click OK.
Now let's see what we can find as the strongest NASDAQ-100 stocks
to Buy. When this is done,
click OK and then start Peercomm +
Peerless-2008/9 + Tiger Selections
+ Bullish Stocks for 3 Months.
Again, these are very high Power-Ranked stocks. They show very high
long-term Accumulation (AI/200). usually
a positive divergence between price and OBV for the last 100-days,
a high current IP21 (Accumulation) and
are usually above their 50-day ma. The highest ranked "Bullish" stock
with an IP21 greater than .20 is CTXS.
Being the top stock in this screening is significanlty bullish, provided
its OBV%-Pr% is not -30 or lower.
That last condition is a "killer" condition. Its presence should eliminate
a
stock from consideration. On the
other hand, that CTXS's evaluation of its Opening Power gives it only
a "Q" instead of a
"U" is less important than the fact that the stock is #1 and the Closing Power
is rated a "U".
The stock's chart shows it next needs to
breakout to a new recovery high. A breakout would be a new bullish
Buy for the stock. The red Buy
based on the 14-day Stochastic-K-Line should have been taken for a Buy
late last week.
04/03/2009
Symbol Power
AI/200 OBV%-Pr% IPA%-Pr% Current IP21
Close Trend-50 Cl/21dma Up% MACD Tgr Sig
CTXS 346
125
39
39
.21
24.35 AR
1.05
50.4% Buy
?U
I recommend looking at only the stocks with a current IP21 above .20 where both
Opening and Closing
Power are rising ("UU)". That
gives woild mean charting SNPS, HANS, NTAP and CTAS.
Here are their charts.
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4.
FINDING LONGER-TERM INVESTMENTS AMONG FIDSTKS
The Tiger
Tahiti system buys the highest AI/200 stock in the DJI provided certain
conditions are met. The
system is explained in our book: Tiger's
Tahiti System: 24.4%/Yr:
1970-2007: Buying the Most Accumulated
DJI-30 Stock. Sometimes, like now, no
stock in the DJI-30 qualifies.
In that case, apply the rules to another larger universe of
stocks. You might use Oil Stocks or NASDAQ-100 stocks. Here we
look at the highest
Accumulation Stocks, but the
highest Power Ranked Stocks would also do fine.
Here we
will use the Power Ranker to sort the FIDSTKS' data (stocks held by the
Fidelity Sector funds).
Run the Analysis as above: Use Peercomm
+ TigerSoft Chart
+ Run/Setups + Run Nightly
Analysis + OK When it is done, click OK. Now let's see what
we
find to be the highest
Accumulation stocks among all those held by the FIdelity Sector funds.
Start Peercomm + Peerless-2008/9 + Ranking Results + Tiger Accumulation
Index Rankings.
Here are the top 5
stocks and their most important key values. FCN would be considered the
best, but for the fact
that its current IP21 is only +04. We want to see +.20 or higher. GS meets
that standard and is AR
)abve its rising 0-day ma) and has the "UU" designation under TgrSig
to show that both
Opening and CLosing Power are rising.
Symbol
AI/200 OBV%-Pr% Current IP21 Close Trend-50
TgrSig
FCN
165
-3
.04
47.5 AR
UD
GHL
163
-2
.16
75.15 AR
UU
IMA
163
-47
.16
27.72 AR
?U
RYN
153
49
.27
32.39 AR
UU
GS
149
-11
.20
119.4 AR
UU
5. FIRST OUT OF THE GATE AS A BULL MARKET
STARTS
Just as the first horse out of the gate at a horse race tends to do well, so, too, when
the stock market starts
up off a major bottom. The bottom on this last decline
was 20 trading days.
The simplest way to see the stocks leading the race at this point
is to pick a group of
stocks you like to trade or invest in. Let's pick a cyclical group,
as cyclicals tend to do
well at a market bottom, as do airlines, electronics and brokerage stocks.
Here we will take the
airlines's stocks in the set of data we call "TRANSP", which is
gathered from our Tiger
Data page.
Use Peercomm + TigerSoft Chart + Ranking Results + User Set
Rankings + 20 +1
Now look for those stocks at the top of the ranking to be sure the stocks have an IP21
above .25.
The top stocks are YRCW +262% IP21=.34
VTNC +137% IP21=. 47
By using Peercomm + TigerSoft Chart + Ranking Results
+ User Set Rankings + 20 + 3
we get a listing
that shows the highest IP21 stocks. Those are VTNC, TMM, ACU and HA.
VTNC is
the best choice, I think.
6. "ACROSS
THE BOARD" HIGH STRENGTH
A different way to seeing which stocks are the first out of the gate with
across-the-board
strength,
Having run the nightly analysis program, one can compare the rankings
of price for 21 days
(extrernal
strength) and OBV and IP21 (internal strength).
Use Peercomm + TigerSoft Chart + Ranking Results + 21-day Pct Change and
Rank Divergences + OK
Compare the Pct Change Rank with the On-Balance-Vol.-Rank and Intra-Day-Volume
Rank.
Find a stock near
the top that has across-the-board rankings:
Example:
Pct Change Rank On-Balance-Vol.-Rank
Intra-Day-Volume Rank.
TMM 97 of 104
94 of 104
103 of 194
JBLU 91 of 104
95 of 104
102 of 104
Here the
highest and most bullish possible rank is 104 for each of the 3 variables.
High as JBLU's
percent change
rank is, the OBV and Intrra-Day Volume ranks are even higher for JBLU.
A move by JBLU
will be a bullish breakout backed by very good internals.
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After running the Power-Ranker-FLagger, use the following commands :
7.
"NEW HIGH"
Use
Peercomm + Peerless 2008/2009t + Daily Stocks + "New High - 15.
250 day price high"
(in the middle section)
... Click the down-arrow key on the right side of the key board to
go to the next stock.
We are looking for
stocks not only making new price highs,
but ones where the
CLosing Power, OBV, Relative Strength and Accumulation Index
are rising and above
their moving averages.
Interesting New Highs: 4/9/2009
8. "BOTH UP
Use
Peercomm + Peerless 2008/2009t + Daily Stocks + Bothup 21
Open Power and Closing Power
are rising.
1 ... Click the down-arrow key on the right side of the key board to
go to the
next stock. Here we want
find CLosing Power upside trend-breaks,
CLosing
Power horizontal breakouts and CLosing Power new highs ahead of price.
BBBY
CTXS
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