Peerless
and Fidelity BIOTECH
Earlier Findings
There
are many times when FBIOX is in a downtrend and a Peerless Buy signal
does
not bring a reversal. Examples April 1994, May 2004.
March 2006,
May
2010 (but DJI H/S Watch also for well-tested trendlines because
when
they are broken prices usually reverse. These often occur
after
important Peerless Sells Examples: June 1986, July 1990, Sept 1987.
From Peerless
long trades and fidelity sector funds: 1986-2011
PEERLESS LONG TRADES AND FIDELITY SECTOR FUNDS
Performance
Thru 3/23/2011
Start
N $1000
Avg.
Winning
Pct of Trades
Becomes
Gain/Trade
Trade Pct Losses>10%
FBIOX Biotech
1986
51 $28101
+10.0%
76.4%
2/51
1986 2011 N = number of trades.
=================================================================================
FSLBX Brokerage Inv Mgt
1986 51 $340200
+15.5%
86.2%
1/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSAVX Automotive
1987
47 $105099
+14.6%
74.4%
2/41
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSELX Electronics
1986
51 $150474
+14.3%
76.4%
3/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FDCPX Computer
1986
51 $133558
+13.8%
76.4%
3/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSESX Energy Services
1987
47 $81283
+13.4%
77.5%
4/47
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSPTX Technology
1986
50 $110951
+13.4%
76.4%
no big losses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSAIX Air Transp.
1986
50 $114355
+13.4%
76.0%
1/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSCSX Software
1986
51 $90913
+12.6%
80.3%
no big losses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSDPX Select Materials
1987 49
$86967
+12.6%
75.5%
no big losses
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSRFX Transportation
1989
44 $59394
+12.6%
79.5%
no big losses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSHOX Construction & Housing 1987 49
$68828.
+12.1%
77.5%
no big losses
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSCGX Industrial Equipment
1987 49 $64964
+11.9%
79.5%
2/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FBMPX Multi-Media
1986
51 $55586
+11.5%
76.4%
3/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSRPX Retailing
1986
51 $55732
+11.5%
74.5%
1/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FIDSX Financial Servuices
1986 51 $61598
+11.4%
86.2%
no big losses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSPCX Insurance
1986
51 $72925
+11.4%
94.1%
1/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FDLSX Leisure
1986
51 $50011
+11.0%
80.3%
1/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSHCX Chemicals
1986
51 $54039
+10.8%
82.3%
no big losses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSRBX Banking
1987
47 $28097
+10.6%
73.4%
2/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSTCX Telecommunications
1986 51 $39971
+10.5%
82.3%
3/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSNGX Natural Gas
1994
37 $13980
+10.4%
75.6%
2/37
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSDAX Military & Aerospac
1986 51
$41931
+10.4%
74.5%
1/37
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FBIOX Biotech
1986
51 $28101
+10.0%
76.4%
2/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FCNTX Contra Fund
1986
51 $33793
+9.7%
86.2%
no big losses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSLEX Environment & Altern Energy 1989 41
$16725
+9.6%
82.9%
no big losses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSVLX Home Finance
1986
51 $20947
+9.5%
72.5%
3/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FDVLX Investment Value
1986
51 $29010
+9.5%
86.3%
1/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSENX Energy
1986
51 $23536
+9.4%
76.4%
3/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSPHX Health Care
1986
51 $14887
+8.1%
74.5%
no big losses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSCBX Small Cap
1998
31 $5286
+8.0%
74.1%
no big losses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSAGX Gold
1986
51 $6168
+7.6%
64.7%
10/51
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FDFAX Agriculture
1986
51 $9810
+6.9%
84.3%
no big losses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FSUTX Utilities Growth
1986
51 $5030
+5.5%
74.5%
1/51
/
==================================================================================
2000-2004
For the
period, 2000-2004, Peerless major Buy signals would have showed an average yearly
performance of the 16.73% in trading the Fidelity Select funds, if
only long positons were taken with revering major Buy and Sell signals and there
was no short selling. Below is a ranking, showing which Select Funds were most
profitably traded by Peerless from 2000-2004.
FBIOX gain for 2000-2004 was 12.6% using Peerless and only
Buying and then Selling on
Peerless signals.
FSPTX - Technology +26.06%
FSAVX - Automotive +25.58%
FSHOX - Construction & Housing +24.34%
FSENX - Energy +23.23%
FSELX - Electronics +21.55%
FDCPX - Computers +21.0%%
FSDPX - Industrial Materials +20.66%
FBMPX - Multimedia +19.89%
FSCBX - Small Caps. +19.78%
FSRFX - Transportation +18.73%
FSAIX - Air Transport +18.45%
FDLSX - Leisure/Entertainment +18.32%
FSDCX - Dev.Comm. +18.11%
FSAGX - Amer.Gold +17.82%
FSDAX - Defense/Aerospace +17.56%
FSCHX - Chemicals +17.53%
FSLEX - Environmental Services +17.13%
FSRPX - Retailing +16.81%
All Funds Averaged +16.73%
FSPCX - Insurance +16.31%
FSTCX - Tele-communications +16.00%
FDVLX - Savings & Loan +15.2%
FSESX - Energy Services +14.23%
FSCPX - Consumer +13.77%
FIDSX - Financial Servics +13.23%
FBIOX - Biotech +12.57%
FSHCX - Medical Delivery +12.03%
FSRBX - Regional Banks +10.66%
FSNGX - Natural Gas +8.9%
FSUTX - Utility Growth +8.63%
FDFAX - Agriculture +7.78%
FSPHX - Health Care +6.83%
http://www.tigersoft.com/mutuals/
==================================================================================
FBIOX Charts and Peerless Signals
2000-2004
Use
Breaks in well-tested trendlines, too.