with TigerSoft's Peerless System since 1993.
www.tigersoft.com (C) 2010 William Schmidt, Ph.D.
Updated through 4/14/2010
www.tigersoft.com "Where Everyone Gets Personal Service."
PO Box 9491 San Diego, CA 92169 858-273-5900 william_schmidt@hotmail.com Testimonials About Us
Is market still safe? Peerless Stock Market Timing: DJIA-1915-2010
Peerless Buys/Sells +30% Annualized Return on SPY since 1993.
+42.4% Gain since May 2009 (long only)
Real-Time Track Record since Start of Peerless in 1981
What stocks are best? ETFs Blue Chips. Explosive Super Stocks Killer Short Sales.
Are Buy and Sell Signals Automatic? YES - and Extensively Back-Tested.
How Do You Track Unofficial Insider Buying/Selling? TigerSoft's Accumulation Index and Closing Power
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tiger's Peerless Results Trading SPY:
1993-2010
62 positive gain quarters
5 losing quarters, biggest loss was 4.5% in First Quarter of 2002.
Every year showed a gain. 4 years showed gains greater than 60%
Yearly Gain Biggest Monthly Biggest
Quarterly
Loss
Loss
1993 +4.9%
-2.6%
- .3%
1994 +28.1%
-2.9%
-1.8%
1995 +34.9%
-0.3%
none
1996 +26.1%
-5.4%
none
1997 +18.1%
-5.2%
none
1998 +60.6%
-6.0%
none
1999 +24.0%
-3.2%
none
2000 +21.0%
-7.5%
-1.7%
2001 +62.1%
-4.4%
none
2002 +35.1%
-6.1%
-4.5%
2003 +34.7%
-1.5%
none
2004 +17.9%
-3.2%
-2.4%
2005 +11.9%
-2.4%
none
2006 +32.4%
none
none
2007 +44.7%
-2.8%
none
2008 +82.1%
-4.8%
none
2009 +60.3%
-3.1%
none
2010
+5.0% to date
See
more details below
=====================================================================================
We contstantly compare earlier markets
with the presents. Compare the bullish
take-off in August 1982 with the market's boom after March 2009.
1982-1983
2009-2010
====================================================================================
DETAILS OF PEERLESS ON SPY: 1993-2010
Results:
62 positive gain quarters
5 losing quarters, biggest loss was 4.5% in First Quarter of 2002.
Every year showed a gain. 4 years showed gains greater than 60%
Yearly Gain Biggest Monthly Biggest
Quarterly
Loss
Loss
1993 +4.9%
-2.6%
- .3%
1994 +28.1%
-2.9%
-1.8%
1995 +34.9%
-0.3%
none
1996 +26.1%
-5.4%
none
1997 +18.1%
-5.2%
none
1998 +60.6%
-6.0%
none
1999 +24.0%
-3.2%
none
2000 +21.0%
-7.5%
-1.7%
2001 +62.1%
-4.4%
none
2002 +35.1%
-6.1%
-4.5%
2003 +34.7%
-1.5%
none
2004 +17.9%
-3.2%
-2.4%
2005 +11.9%
-2.4%
none
2006 +32.4%
none
none
2007 +44.7%
-2.8%
none
2008 +82.1%
-4.8%
none
2009 +60.3%
-3.1%
none
2010
+5.0% to date
:
Rules:
>The Peerless signals are based on the DJIA, not the SP-500.
>Occasionally, DIA, QQQQ or IWM are better used than SPY.
>Most but not all of these are trades from real-time signals.
>Some of the reversals were called more accurately on our
Nightly Hotline where TIgerSoft's Closing Power was also used
for purposes of trading shorter-term.
>Next Day's Openings after a reversing Peerless signal
were used for calculating Trades' Prices.
>.2% Commission and Slippage used per Trade
> SPY Dividends ranging from 1.5% to 3%/year are not included.
Including them usually would have helped our trading results,
though in some cases, we were short the SPY when the
dividends were paid. Usually they were paid out between
the 17th and 21st of the month.
> Money Management Fees that might
be charged by a professional adviser are not included.
fPeerless Stock Market Timing:
1915-2010
These
are returns from current Peerless System, as optimized for
period 1928-2010. The basics of the Peerless system have
been used
since 1981, which grew out of a published and nationally
advertised
study of market data from 1972-1981. In 1991, Tiger's
Windows-Peerless
was offered for the first time using back data to 1965.
Peerless was
optimized in 2008 after close examination of data back to 1928.
This was
just in time for us to deal near perfectly with the Crash of
2008. the
bottom of March 2009 and then the subsequent recovery.
That was
because the 2008-2009 bear market behaved more like the extreme
bear markets of 1929-1933 and 1937-1938 than any period since
then.
Studying past history has made all the difference.
A few other retrospective changes to Peerless have been made
since 2008.
These were made because such changes were discovered to to be
more consistent with all the back data. The most
important such
discovery was made for 1937, 1967 and 1999, by taking into
account
the 4-year Presidential cycle. Only by studying data back
to 1915, did
we have the confidence statistically to reach such
conclusions. The
Peerless manual for 1915-2010 details these revisions.
See also "The
History of Peerless Stock Market Timing: 1981-2010"
Monthly/Quarterly/Year Gains Trading SPY
with Peerless System since 1993.
Example of gains: A Gain of .062 = 6.2% Gain
Dates Quarterly SPY Account Monthly Yearly
Gain Gain Gain
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1993
2/1/1993 (long) 44.40 10000 after commissions.
end of Feb 44.41 10002 .0
end of Mar 45.19 10178 .018
.018
end of Apr 44.03 9917 -.026
end of May 45.22 10185 .027
end of Jun 46.06 10374 .019
.019
end of Jul 44.84 10099 -.026
end of Aug 46.56 10486 .038
end of Sep 45.94 10347 -.013
-.003
end of Oct 46.84 10550 .02
end of Nov 46.34 10437 -.011
end of Dec 46.59 10493 .005
.014 +.049
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1994
end of Jan 48.22 10860 .035
end of Feb 46.81 11084 .021
end of Mar 44.59 11609 .047
.106
end of Apr 45.09 11564 -.004
end of May 45.81 11749 .016
end of Jun 44.47 11405 -.029
-.018
end of Jul 45.91 11775 .032
end of Aug 47.66 12220 .038
end of Sep 46.17 12602 .031
.105
end of Oct 47.48 12881 .022
end of Nov 45.59 13447 .044
end of Dec 45.56 13438 -.001
.066 +.281
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1995
end of Jan 47.09 13889 .034
end of Feb 49.02 14459 .041
end of Mar 50.11 14780 .022
.100
end of Apr 51.59 15217 .03
end of May 53.64 15821 .04
end of Jun 54.41 16048 .014
.086
end of Jul 56.16 16565 .032
end of Aug 56.41 16638 .004
end of Sep 58.48 17249 .037
.075
end of Oct 58.31 17199 -.003
end of Nov 60.91 17966 .045
end of Dec 61.48 18134 .009
.051 +.349
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1996
end of Jan 63.67 18780 .036
end of Feb 63.88 19647 .046
end of Mar 64.69 19398 -.013
.070
end of Apr 65.39 20517 .058
end of May 66.87 20985 .023
end of Jun 67.11 20909 -.004
.078
end of Jul 64.09 21466 .027
end of Aug 65.33 22454 .046
end of Sep 68.62 21252 -.054
.016
end of Oct 70.84 21940 .032
end of Nov 76.02 23544 .073
end of Dec 73.84 22869 -.029
.076 +.261
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1997
end of Jan 78.41 24284 .062
end of Feb 79.16 24516 .01
end of Mar 75.37 23343 -.048
.021
end of Apr 80.09 23254 -.004
end of May 85.16 22979 -.012
end of Jun 88.31 23829 .037
.021
end of Jul 95.31 25718 .079
end of Aug 90.37 24385 -.052
end of Sep 94.37 25572 .049
.073
end of Oct 92.06 25904 .013
end of Nov 95.62 27416 .058
end of Dec 97.06 27016 -.015
.056 +.181
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1998
end of Jan 98.31 27364 .013
end of Feb 105.12 29259 .069
end of Mar 109.94 30601 .046
.133
end of Apr 111.34 31780 .039
end of May 109.03 32440 .021
end of Jun 113.31 31166 -.039
.018
end of Jul 111.78 31587 .014
end of Aug 96.00 36046 .141
end of Sep 101.75 33887 -.06
.087
end of Oct 110 38694 .142
end of Nov 116.12 40846 .056
end of Dec 123.31 43376 .062
.280 +.606
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1999
end of Jan 127.66 44906 .035
end of Feb 123.56 43463 -.032
end of Mar 128.38 45159 .039
.041
end of Apr 133.25 46872 .038
end of May 130.2 45799 -.023
end of Jun 137 46321 .011
.026
end of Jul 132.75 47758 .031
end of Aug 132.06 49238 .005
end of Sep 128.75 49197 .025
.062
end of Oct 137 50669 .03
end of Nov 139.28 51512 .017
end of Dec 146.88 53799 .044
.094 +.24
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2000
end of Jan 139.56 56480 .05
end of Feb 137.44 53172 -.059
end of Mar 150.38 58178 .094
.081
end of Apr 145.09 64667 .112
end of May 142.81 63651 -.016
end of Jun 145.28 64752 .017
.113
end of Jul 143 70401 .087
end of Aug 152.34 65803 -.065
end of Sep 143.63 69565 .057
.074
end of Oct 142.95 68236 -.019
end of Nov 132.28 63143 -.075
end of Dec 131.19 68400 .083
-.017 +.271
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2001
end of Jan 137.02 65360 -.044
end of Feb 123.95 71595 .095
end of Mar 116.69 76869 .074
.124
end of Apr 126.66 75782 -.014
end of May 125.95 78959 .042
end of Jun 122.6 81059 .027
.055
end of Jul 121.35 81886 .01
end of Aug 114.15 86744 .059
end of Sep 104.44 100924 .163
.245
end of Oct 105.8 108118 .071
end of Nov 114.05 110646 .023
end of Dec 114.3 110889 .002
.099 +.621
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2002
end of Jan 113.18 109802 -.01
end of Feb 111.15 109183 -.006
end of Mar 114.52 105873 -.03 |
-.045
end of Apr 107.86 112030 .058
end of May 107.22 112695 .006
end of Jun 98.96 121377 .077
.146
end of Jul 91.16 150529 .24
end of Aug 91.78 145709 -.032
end of Sep 81.79 138871 -.047
.144
end of Oct 88.52 150297 .082
end of Nov 93.98 159568 .062
end of Dec 88.23 149805 -.061
.079 +.351
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2003
end of Jan 86.06 159177 .063
end of Feb 84.09 155533 -.023
end of Mar 84.74 156736 .008
.046
end of Apr 91.91 169997 .085
end of May 96.95 179319 .055
end of Jun 97.63 180577 .007
.152
end of Jul 99.03 183166 .014
end of Aug 101.44 187624 .024
end of Sep 99.95 184868 -.015
.024
end of Oct 105.3 192102 .039
end of Nov 106.45 191286 -.004
end of Dec 112.28 201762 .055
.091 +.347
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2004
end of Jan 113.48 203919 .011
end of Feb 115.02 209689 .028
end of Mar 108.85 220937 .054
.095
end of Apr 110.96 216655 -.019
end of May 112.86 221757 .024
end of Jun 114.53 225038 .015
.019
end of Jul 110.84 217787 -.032
end of Aug 111.11 218318 .002
end of Sep 111.76 219595 .006
-.024
end of Oct 113.2 222425 .013
end of Nov 117.89 231640 .041
end of Dec 120.87 237856 .027
+.083 +.179
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2005
end of Jan 118.16 243189 .022
end of Feb 120.63 238106 -.021
end of Mar 117.96 243376 .022
+.023
end of Apr 115.75 247491 .017
end of May 119.46 255423 .032
end of Jun 119.18 254825 -.002
+.047
end of Jul 123.74 264575 .038
end of Aug 122.58 262094 -.009
end of Sep 123.04 263078 .004
+.032
end of Oct 120.13 256856 -.024
end of Nov 125.41 268145 .044
end of Dec 124.51 266221 -.007
+.012 +.119
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2006
end of Jan 127.5 272614 .024
end of Feb 128.23 274175 .006
end of Mar 129.83 277465 .012
end of Apr 131.47 281072 .013
end of May 127.51 293049 .042
end of Jun 127.28 302408 .032
+.103
end of Jul 127.85 318306 .053
end of Aug 130.64 325252 .022
end of Sep 133.58 332572 .023
+.10
end of Oct 137.79 343053 .032
end of Nov 140.53 349875 .02
end of Dec 141.62 352589 .008
+.06 +.324
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2007
end of Jan 143.75 342612 -.028
end of Feb 140.93 349333 .02
end of Mar 142 366577 .049
+.04
end of Apr 148.29 382815 .044
end of May 153.32 395800 .034
end of Jun 150.43 388340 -.019
+.059
end of Jul 145.72 419299 .08
end of Aug 145.79 420217 .002
end of Sep 152.58 439788 .047
+.132
end of Oct 154.65 449137 .021
end of Nov 148.66 478431 .065
end of Dec 143.96 510318 .067
+.160 +.447
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2008
end of Jan 137.37 533678 .046
end of Feb 133.82 547470 .026
end of Mar 131.97 595786 .088
+.167
end of Apr 138.26 567389 -.048
end of May 140.35 558812 -.015
end of Jun 127.98 608064 .088
+.021
end of Jul 128.63 604976 -.005
end of Aug 128.79 604223 -.001
end of Sep 115.79 704875 .167
+.159
end of Oct 96.83 766233 .087
end of Nov 90.09 927605 .211
end of Dec 90.24 929149 .002
+.318 +.821
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2009
end of Jan 82.83 895222 -.037
end of Feb 73.93 991412 .107
end of Mar 79.52 1097061 .107
+.181
end of Apr 87.42 1093186 -.004
end of May 92.53 1157087 .058
end of Jun 91.95 1280606 .107
+.167
end of Jul 98.81 1376147 .075
end of Aug 102.46 1426981 .037
end of Sep 105.59 1470573 .031
+.148
end of Oct 103.56 1442301 -.019
end of Nov 109.94 1479574 .026
end of Dec 111.44 1489691 .007
+.013 +.603
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2010
end of Jan 107.39 1435552 -.036
end of Feb 104.52 1397187 -.027
end of Mar 117 1564015 .119
+.05