PEERLESS SELL S16s since 1970
There have been 6 S16s
since 1970 based on multiple negatve divergences for the DJI's advance towards the 3% upper band in late December and early January. These Peerless Sells would have always been profitable if the DJI was shorted on the S16s. The average gain was +7.5%. The average paper loss was 2.0%. The biggest paper loss was 3.3%; so all shorts on the S16 would have been profitable. Sell S16s: 1970-2020 No. Date Signal DJI Short Sale Short Sale Pct Gain Paper Loss Peerless Internals <1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 19700102 S16 809.7 5.6% 0.2% P-I, IP21, V-I, OPct ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2 19761229 S16 994.93 6.1% 1.0% special case ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3 19810102 S16 972.78 4.2% 3.3% P-I, IP21, V-I, OP ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 19900102 S16 2810.15 9.1% 0.0% special case, V-I multiple NCs. Exclude cases for average computations ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5 19991229 S16 11484.66 12.9% 2.1% P-I, IP21, V-I ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6 20131230 S16 16504.29 6.4% 4.3% IP21 and V-I ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 20151229 S16 17720.98 9.2% 0.0% P-I, IP21, V-I, OP ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | Avg 7.5% 2.0% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Present 20211228 S16 IP21, V-I, OP Program Code as of 12/30/2021 For i = 70 To rn If mo(i) > 1 And mo(i) < 12 Then 45588 If la(i) / ma(i) > 1.0045 And P(i) < -77 And newipxxx(i) < -.041 And pvv(i) < -500 Then 45454| If opma(i) > .001 And la(i) / ma(i) < 1.01 Then 45588 If la(i) / ma(i) > 1.04 Then 45588 If mo(i) = 12 And da(i) > 27 And pvv(i) < -240 And la(i) / ma(i) > 1.0105 And P(i) < -17 And newipxxx(i) < -.05 Then 45454 If mo(i) = 12 And da(i) > 27 And pvv(i) < -145 And la(i) / ma(i) > 1.0045 And P(i) < -1 And newipxxx(i) < .035 Then 45454 chang65 = (la(i) - la(i - 65)) / la(i - 65) If mo(i) <> 12 Then 45588 If da(i) < 29 Then 45588 If pvv(i) < -400 And la(i) / ma(i) > 1.0045 And P(i) < -70 And newipxxx(i) < -.04 Then 45454 If la(i) / ma(i) < 1.0215 Then 45588 '1.0215 If la(i) / ma(i) > 1.0292 Then 45588 If pvv(i) > 2 Then 45588 If newipxxx(i) > .142 Then 45588 AROCC = ((ma(i) - ma(i - 1)) / ma(i - 1)) * 250 If AROCC > .6 Then 45588 If chang65 > .155 Then 45588 45454 pi = i: stsells16arrows (pi): : s9(i) = 116: : ms(i) = 16: 45588 Next i For i = 70 To rn If mo(i) > 1 And mo(i) < 12 Then 55588 chang65 = (la(i) - la(i - 65)) / la(i - 65) If mo(i) <> 1 Then 55588 If da(i) > 2 Then 55588 If la(i) / ma(i) < 1.0215 Then 55588 If la(i) / ma(i) > 1.0292 Then 55588 If pvv(i) > 4 Then 55588 If newipxxx(i) > .142 Then 55588 AROCC = ((ma(i) - ma(i - 1)) / ma(i - 1)) * 250 If AROCC > .675 Then 55588 If chang65 > .155 Then 55588 If chang65 > .1 And opma(i) > .36 Then 55588 pi = i: stsells16arrows (pi): : s9(i) = 116: : ms(i) = 16: 55588 Next i For i = 70 To rn ' Jan 1990 If mo(i) > 1 And mo(i) < 12 Then 55590 If mo(i) > 1 And mo(i) < 12 Then 55590 chang65 = (la(i) - la(i - 65)) / la(i - 65) If chang65 > 0 Then 55590 If mo(i) <> 1 Then 55590 If da(i) > 3 Then 55590 If la(i) / ma(i) < 1.025 Then 55590 If la(i) / ma(i) > 1.029 Then 55590 If pvv(i) > 55 Then 55590 If newipxxx(i) > .073 Then 55590 AROCC = ((ma(i) - ma(i - 1)) / ma(i - 1)) * 250 If AROCC > .51 Then 55590 maxh65 = -99999 For j = i - 100 To i - 1 If la(j) > maxh65 Then maxh65 = la(j) Next j If la(i) > maxh65 Then 55590 pi = i: stsells16arrows (pi): : s9(i) = 116: : ms(i) = 16: 55590 Next i |
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sell S16s: 1965-2013 Number of Trades = 4 Avg.Gain = .059 Avg.Paper Loss = .015 Avg.LAST/21DMA = 1.027 Avg.Ann.Roc. = .11325 Avg.PI = 32.1 AVG.PI Change = 33.8 AVG.Adj.PI = 56.9 AVG.IP21 = .02775 AVG.V-I = -1.5 AVG.OBV-Pct = .0995 AVG.65-dPctCh. = .0108 |