Bull Market Buy B1s:
1928-2014
==========================
In a bull market with a Buy B1, the
DJI is typically
8.3 below its yearly peak. The paper losses on these
Buy B1s average 1.5%. The full retreat brings a decline
almost 10% down from the yearly peak. In 11 earlier cases,
the Buy B1 averages a gain of +10.3%.
Pullback
Paper Loss Total
Retreat Gain
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
19521027 6% None 6%
+9.8%
19561003 10%
3.3%
13.3%
+2.2%
19721018 6% None
6% +12.4%
19761013 10% 2.5% 12.5% +3.8%
19791024 10% 1.5% 11.5% 7.0%
19841010 6% 1.0%
7%
+9.6%
19861002 10% None
10%
+35.1%
19921006 7% 1.3% 8.3%
+10.1%
19941007 5% None
5% 3.7%
19991019 12% None 12.0% +10.1%
20041018 9%
3.0% 12.0% +9.6%
----------------------------------------
No.= 11 8.3% 1.5% 9.8%
+10.3%
========================================================================
Date Signal DJI PAPER
Gain Selling
Loss on next Peerless
Sell
----------------------------------------------------------------------
20141015 B1 16161.74 ???
???
la/ma AROC PI PI ch Adj-PI IP21 V-I
Opct 65-day PctChange
.956 -.696 -45
-54 -456 -.169 -219 -.309 -.054.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
19521027 B1 265.9 No Paper Loss .098
.99 -.288 -.115 1
-423 -.09 -219 -.421 -.048
Only 6% Pullback from DJI peak
----------------------------------------------------------------------
19561003 B1 482.00 3.3% Paper Loss .022
.980 -.621 -.155 9
-391 -.112 -413 -.376 -.021
10% Pullback from DJI peak
----------------------------------------------------------------------
19721018 B1 932.34 No Paper Loss .124
.989 -.137 -85 22 -182 -.067
-2 .007 .022
Only 6% Pullback from DJI peak
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
19761013 B1 948.3 2.5% Paper Loss
.038
.966 -.367 -90 42 -166 .016
-2 -.264 -.058
10% Pullback from DJI peak
------------------------------------------------------------------------
19791024 B1 1.5% Paper Loss
.07
.947 -1.081 -356 16 -676
-.142 -11 -.42 -.026
10% Pullback from DJI peak
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
19841010 B1 1177.23 1.0%
Paper Loss .096 DJI tagged
upper band without a paper loss.
.978 -.205 -31 -23 -542 -.103
-6 -.018 .044
Only 6% Pullback from DJI peak
------------------------------------------------------------------------
19861002 B1 1781.21 No
Paper Loss .351
second
biggest
.987 -.659 -167 +2 -318 -.056
-24 -.136 .065
10% Pullback from DJI peak
------------------------------------------------------------------------
19921006 B1 3178.19 1.3%
Paper Loss .101
.969 -.375 -134 +15 -259 +.021 -23
-.242 -.049
Only 7% Pullback from DJI peak
------------------------------------------------------------------------
19941007 B1 3797.43
No Paper Loss .037 |
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