Lots of DJI reversals from declines since 2009.

                     www.tigersoftware.com/PeerlessStudies/2-day-Up-Reversals/index.htm

            In general, the higher the ratio of advances to declines on the day of reversal,
            the better the odds tha tthe next day will also be up.  When ratio was 4:1 to 5:1,
            the odds of a rally were 67% that the DJI will advance on the next day.

 


                            Table 1          ------------ Big DJI Reversals after Declines.
                                                                               2009-2015

                              Number         A/D          Day of        Day of       Next            Subsequent
                                                   Ratio<1> Reversal    Reversal    Day             6-wk high
                             =========================================================
                              2                    2-3        10/3/2014    17009.69      16991.91 Rally Failed. DJI fell to 16117.24 on 10/16
                                                                   3/17/2011     11613.3       11858.52
                             -------------------------------------------------
                              5                   3-4        1/7/2015        17907.87    17737.37
                                                                  8/8/2014      16553.93       16569.98
                                                                 2/6/2014       15628.53      15974.08
                                                                  6/25/2013    14760.31       14910.14
                                                                12/1/2010     11255.78      17778.15
                            -------------------------------------------------
                             3                   4-5         1/16/2015        17511.57    ?
 
                                                                10/8/2014       16994.22   16659.25    17958.78     12/5/2014 
                                                                  6/28/2011       12188.69   12261.42    12571.91   7/30/3011
                                                                11/5/2009        10005.96   10023.42   107355.43 1/19/2015
                            -------------------------------------------------
                             3                   5-6        10/10/2013       15126.07   15237.11
                                                                 10/6/2011         11123.33   11103.12 hit 12231.11
                                                                 7/13/2009          8331.68    8359.49
                            -------------------------------------------------
                             3                   6-7        9/1/2010          10269.47     10320.1
                                                               7/7/2010           10018.28    10138.99
                                                               6/10/2010         10172.53    10211.07

                            -------------------------------------------------
                             4                   >7        12/17/2014        18053.71    17778.15
                                                                11/19/2012        12795.96    12788.51 hit 13350.96
                                                                6/6/2012            12414.79   12460.96  
                                                                3/10/2009          6926.49       6930.40   
 


                     <1> Day of reversal.

                   Table 2          ------------ Big DJI Reversals Following Declines --------

                                                   NYSE               A/D          DJI Daily Jumps          Next Day
                                                  up         down     Ratio
                           ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           1/16/2015      2595      589        4.41         17320.71 to 17511.57    ?
                           1/7/2015        2418      762        3.17         17584.52 to 17907.87   17737.37
                           12/17/2014    2841      371        7.66         17356.87 to 18053.71   17778.15
                           10/8/2014      2551      638        4.01        16719.39   to 16994.22  16659.25
                           10/3/2014      2124      1035    2.05        16801.05 to 17009.69  16991.91 Rally Failed.

                           8/8/2014       2397       773       3.10        16368.27 to 16553.93   16569.98
                           2/6/2014       2345       776       3.02       15440.23 to 15628.53   15974.08
                           10/10/2013   2557       450        5.68       14702.98 to 15126.07   15237.11
                           9/9/2013       2464       615       4.01       14922.50 to 15063.12   15191.06
                           6/25/2013     2493       820       3.04       14659.56 to 14760.31   14910.14

                           11/19/2012   2696      356         7.57        12588.31 to 12795.96   12788.51 hit 13350.96
                           6/6/2012       2691      377         7.14        12127.95 to 12414.79   12460.96     
                           10/6/2011     2607      474         5.50        10939.95 to 11123.33   11103.12 hit 12231.11
                           8/11/2011     2832      228       12.42       10719.94 to 11143.31    11269.02 
                           6/28/2011     2457      605        4.06          12043.56  to 12188.69     12261.42
 
                           3/17/2011     2232      819        2.72          11613.3 to   11744.59      11858.52
                           12/1/2010     2403      676      3.55       11006.02  to 11255.78    11362.41                           
                           9/1/2010       2668      431         6.19           10014.72 to 10269.47     10320.1
                           7/7/2010       2689      447         6.02           9743.62 to 10018.28       10138.99
                           6/10/2010     2731      405         6.74             9899.25 to 10172.53     10211.07

                           11/5/2009     2495      537         4.64            9802.14 to 10005.96     10023.42
                           7/13/2009     2565      498         5.15             8146.52 to 8331.68        8359.49
                           3/10/2009     2936      225       13.05             6547.05  to 6926.49      6930.40

2009
DATA09.BMP (1920054 bytes)

JPM9.BMP (1920054 bytes)

 

2010
DATA10.BMP (1920054 bytes)
JPM10.BMP (1920054 bytes)

 

2011
DATA11.BMP (1920054 bytes)
JPM11.BMP (1920054 bytes)
2012
DATA12.BMP (1920054 bytes)

 

JPM12.BMP (1920054 bytes)

2013
DATA13.BMP (1920054 bytes)
JPM13.BMP (1920054 bytes)

 

 

2013-2014
DATA1314.BMP (1920054 bytes)

 

 

2015
DATA15.BMP (1920054 bytes)

GS15.BMP (1920054 bytes)

JPM15.BMP (1920054 bytes)