1987 CRASH
   Outwardly, All Looked Great and Then The October Crash Came.

  
               On  9/4/1987 the Fed raised the Discount Rate for the first time in more than three years.
    It was set at  6.0% by the new Fed Chairman, Alan Greenspan.   Greenspan was a stauch believer
    in non-regulation by the Federal Gvernment.  He had been a staunch supporter of Ayn Rand.
    He was sworn in the day the DJI peaked, August 11, 1987.   It was Reagan's nomination
    of Greenspan in June 2, 1987 that started the June to August rally,   This is a good example
    of a testablke adage: "
buy on the nomination and sell on the confirmation." 

              The October Crash made Peerless subscribvers and users a lot of money.  The
    bearish and negative divergences by the uppoer band in early October were easy to
    see and undeniable.  The S9 and S12 set of signals were the four set of bearish Peerless
    sells in 8 months.  A long trendline lay just beneath to be broken.  And when this
    happened, the declining (blue) support line at 2480 would next be violated, domino
    style.  Instead of making a new high, the DJI would be making new lows.  All systems,
    computerized and not, would be selling.  And they did.  Just as we had expected
    in our hotline. 

            What surprised us was that the DJI broke 2000.  That represented a drop by
    the DJI more than10% beloiw the 21-day ma, something which had not happened
    since 1962.  See the charts below the main chart below.

           As it turned out, nothing real happened to explain this collapse.  Rather brokerage
   computerized trading of index options had gone into over-drive. Here was a clear warning
   that the financial community left unregulated could bring a terrifying decline in stocks
   and wipe out millions of dollars of savings in the accounts of those who did not know
   the rules that Peerless could teach. Twenty one years later, in 2008, a new generation
   of investors would learn the same lessons: namely that Wall Street cannot be trusted,
   left to its own devices it will self-destruct and wipe out the savings of many people
   far away, and finally, that Peerless is indispensible. 

wpe179.jpg (73730 bytes)



     What lower band in a bad bear market will hold?  Other factors should be used.
   


                         1987 - DJI drops 35% below the 21-day ma
                          This matched the lower band that fit the 1929 Crash.

                        -35%   1929, 1987
                        -20%    1940
                        -17%    1937
                        -15%     1962
                        -10%     1947

wpe178.jpg (53404 bytes)

                  1929 - DJI drops 35% below the 21-day ma

wpe17C.jpg (53663 bytes)

                     1940 - DJI reached lower 20% band.
wpe17E.jpg (45743 bytes)


                          1937 - DJI reached lower 17% band.
wpe17D.jpg (54494 bytes)

                1962 - DJI drops to 15% lower band.
wpe17B.jpg (54332 bytes)


                          1974 - DJI drops 10% below the 21-day ma
wpe17A.jpg (59651 bytes)


                          1962 - DJI drops to 15% lower band.
wpe17B.jpg (54332 bytes)

wpe17F.jpg (39682 bytes)