Big Closing Power
Divergences in DIA and SPY CP%-PR%<-.70 DIA August 1999 - 2% rally and then 12% decline. November 1999 - 5% rally and then 17% decline in January. January 2000 - 15% decline. December 2012 - No decline. Strong rally followed. SPY Sept 1997 - 10% sell off in two weeks May 1998 - shallow decline, 8% rally and then 13% decline. Oct-Dec 1999 - 5% rally and then 10% declinein the next year August 2003 - No decline. 65-dma held. Rally followed. August 2006 - No decline. Strong rally followed. December 2012 - No decline. Strong rally followed. July 2013 - 4% sell off and then strong rally. Conclusion: Don't use in Nov-Decmber (Santa Claus Rally) and August (Summer Rally). Best to use when bull market has lasted a long time. (Not in 2003) |
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